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“We hope in the next five years, we will have four satellites in orbit, so we are even looking beyond ABS-3 and thinking about ABS-4 as well,” Choi told CABSAT E-Daily. “… We will initially sell 15 percent to 20 percent of the capacity (on ABS-2) to our existing customers this year. This capacity will be available at a discount to today’s prices. We want to reward our existing customers that have been with us. Next year, we will release another 15 percent to 20 percent of the capacity, probably at the same rate we are offering today. Just prior to launch, we will offer another 20 percent of the capacity at the then prevailing market rates which we anticipate will be even higher than today. We want to keep some of the capacity back for sale after the ABS-2 launch. As we can easily make debt repayment levels with the minimum fill rates on ABS-2, we are not under pressure to sell all the capacity prior to the launch of ABS-2.”
The satellite plans are partly in response to a lack of capacity in the Middle East, however, with many other operators set to launch new satellites in the next few years, that shortage is set to dramatically change over the next few years. “There is going to be a lot of capacity coming into the region, but at the same time a lot of satellites are reaching their end of life also in the region as well. Although there is new capacity coming in, I believe we will be in a capacity constrained environment,” he said.
Middle East and Africa
ABS was a noticeable Asian presence at the CABSAT MENA Satellite MENA 2009 in Dubai, as other well-known Asian operators such as Measat, ProtoStar, and AsiaSat did not have a visible presence at the show. “Over 75 percent of our overall revenues are generated from the Middle East and Africa region. We have an Indian Ocean region satellite, so it covers a number of growth areas. The Middle East and Africa are strong growth areas. Our satellite is stationed much further West than some of our competitors in Asia, which gives us a better ability to serve the region.”
With demands for satellite capacity ever increasing, finding new orbital slots also is a challenge for operators. Choi believes the current system for orbital slots has been open to abuse. “There are strict rules regarding orbital slots. There are clearly some abuses going on here by more than one operator. Some operators are making fraudulent filings for fictitious satellites while others are launching without coordinated filings. That makes it difficult for new operators to launch businesses. In the Indian Ocean, where it is already very crowded, we have some administrations allowing their operators to maintain apparent priority with fictitious filings, making things even worse,” he said.
However, Choi is optimistic that ABS can take advantage of the current economic situation to gain access to orbital slots. “We are constantly looking at the possibilities for new orbital locations. We think the current financial environment is going to slow down a number of satellite operators a lot in terms of their expansion plans. There are many operators with heavy debt loads that may not be able to get loans for new replacement satellites as well. That will enable us to maybe gain access to abandoned orbital slots or customers whom they cannot serve,” he said.
ABS, while targeting increased revenues in regions such as Africa, also could be impacted as telecoms operators target the region for wireless services. Choi admits there are issues in Africa where satellite is trying to coexist with other technologies. “We are starting to see some WiMZ problems in Africa. It is rather unfortunate, as people are operating in frequencies which they really shouldn’t, and it is beginning to impact customers,” he said. “Plus, in terms of wireless broadband connectivity, it is hard to understand the business case sometimes. You have high infrastructure costs and limited spectrum, but no guaranteed revenues. The business case in many cases for WiMax does not make sense but the damage to the C-band for our industry is very real.”
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